Ferwhere
0x152fdae6b14b9131a61ec77ed61dda50f68da549
- Realised P&L
- $182.3k
- Volume
- $17.65M
- Markets traded
- 160
- Open portfolio
- $20.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded160
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration79.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$172.4kat 0.063Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
- +$119.9kat 0.158US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$19.8kat 0.291US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$4.7kat 0.225UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$2.7kat 0.156Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 21:58 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0692975495 | $15.00 |
| 07-19 21:39 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4119999999 | $2.9k |
| 07-19 20:50 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0891091931 | $500.00 |
| 07-17 14:04 | Exact Score: Any Other Score? | BUY | 0.05 | $500.00 |
| 07-17 14:03 | Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0379999996 | $100.00 |
| 07-17 14:03 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0267891293 | $400.00 |
| 07-17 14:02 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.0643018868 | $300.00 |
| 07-17 14:01 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.412 | $5.0k |
| 07-17 14:00 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.2699999999 | $1.5k |
| 07-14 20:38 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0393481203 | $600.00 |
| 07-14 15:44 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.2261064661 | $8.5k |
| 07-13 16:04 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.0358230699 | $90.00 |
| 07-13 16:04 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.0347035515 | $200.00 |
| 07-13 16:03 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5524999999 | $1.8k |
| 07-13 15:34 | World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? | BUY | 0.0255436324 | $100.00 |