0x168e7984643d68f67a99ecf4f8c0f4d2d1fab2ae
- Realised P&L
- $-20.00
- Volume
- $10.8k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $51.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration30.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1600.00 and 1699.99 at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.532 | 0.390 | $42.84 | −$15.60 |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026? · No | 0.636 | 0.745 | $5.85 | +$0.86 |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.518 | 0.255 | $2.67 | −$2.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$52.83at 0.498Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$27.25at 0.455Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
- +$23.00at 0.425Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
- +$16.35at 0.455Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
- +$10.90at 0.455Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 20:40 | Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1600.00 and 1699.99 at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.45 | $0.83 |
| 07-21 19:29 | Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 20:04 | Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1600.00 and 1699.99 at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 17:59 | Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1600.00 and 1699.99 at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.5355801315 | $57.42 |
| 07-16 17:25 | Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $1.98 |
| 07-01 19:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 19:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 19:04 | Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.2847673532 | $7.47 |
| 07-01 19:03 | Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.3774607057 | $9.90 |
| 06-23 17:59 | Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.42 | $0.78 |
| 06-19 15:49 | Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 06-19 15:41 | Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $1.66 |
| 06-10 18:50 | Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $9.20 |
| 06-10 18:49 | Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1600.00 and 1699.99 at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |
| 06-10 18:41 | Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999727 | $1.98 |