PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ddalkkak

0x16bd7cc71f6da1e77d1d8255677abc75b9bae288

Realised P&L
$122.7k
Volume
$9.58M
Markets traded
540
Open portfolio
$76.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded540
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-17 23:42US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.999$106.16
04-30 01:25US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY0.997$5.5k
04-26 22:41Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.158$845.43
04-26 21:26Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.1299475378$421.04
04-26 21:10Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.0357514629$11.61
04-26 20:45Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.036$82.15
04-24 22:48Spread: Rockets (-8.5)BUY0.41$442.87
04-24 02:05Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.114$1.3k
04-24 02:01Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.1129574039$508.30
04-22 23:46Spread: Pistons (-8.5)BUY0.52$805.93
04-22 23:46Spread: Pistons (-8.5)BUY0.53$1.1k
04-22 21:02Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?BUY0.38$812.95
04-22 19:59NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?BUY0.2$112.50
04-22 06:53Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?SELL0.043$109.82
04-22 06:53Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?BUY0.0798699187$89.20