MRF
0x16cbe223607a6513ae76d1e3751c78e4eabc2704
- Realised P&L
- $472.0k
- Volume
- $22.57M
- Markets traded
- 4,603
- Open portfolio
- $43.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded4,603
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.1kat 0.026Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$43.1kat 0.008Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$37.7kat 0.008Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$36.8kat 0.008Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$36.6kat 0.025Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 09:09 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.122 | $51.63 |
| 07-26 22:09 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.982 | $58.67 |
| 07-26 13:21 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.983 | $49.15 |
| 07-26 13:14 | Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.005 | $10.52 |
| 07-26 11:32 | Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.637 | $3.19 |
| 07-26 10:05 | The Hundred, Women: Manchester Super Giants vs Birmingham Phoenix | BUY | 0.5733314335 | $402.36 |
| 07-26 09:58 | The Hundred, Women: Manchester Super Giants vs Birmingham Phoenix | BUY | 0.55 | $279.71 |
| 07-26 08:25 | Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.004 | $132.00 |
| 07-26 08:21 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.002 | $6.00 |
| 07-25 17:44 | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.13 | $14.18 |
| 07-25 17:39 | Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.005 | $5.26 |
| 07-25 17:31 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.126 | $19.91 |
| 07-25 11:43 | Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.8 | $202.02 |
| 07-25 11:34 | Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.76 | $4.17 |
| 07-25 11:27 | Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.73 | $160.85 |