PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

MRF

0x16cbe223607a6513ae76d1e3751c78e4eabc2704

Realised P&L
$472.0k
Volume
$22.57M
Markets traded
4,603
Open portfolio
$43.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded4,603
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-27 09:09Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.122$51.63
07-26 22:09Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.982$58.67
07-26 13:21Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?BUY0.983$49.15
07-26 13:14Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?BUY0.005$10.52
07-26 11:32Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?BUY0.637$3.19
07-26 10:05The Hundred, Women: Manchester Super Giants vs Birmingham PhoenixBUY0.5733314335$402.36
07-26 09:58The Hundred, Women: Manchester Super Giants vs Birmingham PhoenixBUY0.55$279.71
07-26 08:25Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.004$132.00
07-26 08:21Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.002$6.00
07-25 17:44Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?BUY0.13$14.18
07-25 17:39Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?BUY0.005$5.26
07-25 17:31Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.126$19.91
07-25 11:43Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?BUY0.8$202.02
07-25 11:34Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?BUY0.76$4.17
07-25 11:27Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?BUY0.73$160.85