Skovorodnikov
0x16f04595fe97082d1341e42936a358a96569aba5
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $1.63M
- Markets traded
- 1,562
- Open portfolio
- $4.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,562
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration30.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in August? · Yes | 0.995 | 1.000 | $3.0k | +$14.25 |
| Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? · Yes | 0.622 | 0.630 | $809.07 | +$10.12 |
| Kazakhstan Kurultai Election: Adilet Wins Majority? · Yes | 0.946 | 0.945 | $245.70 | −$0.30 |
| Will Marco Rubio say "Israel" or "Israeli" during Fox News: My View appearance? · Yes | 0.759 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$84.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.374Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
- +$872.77at 0.810Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?
- +$799.14at 0.595Will Vitality win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026?
- +$793.95at 0.704Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?
- +$788.09at 0.924Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 17:28 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in August? | BUY | 0.994676819 | $2.9k |
| 08-02 13:51 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 Winner | BUY | 0.5499999895 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 12:40 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 3 Winner | BUY | 0.81 | $405.00 |
| 08-02 12:03 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.7899999992 | $105.00 |
| 08-02 12:01 | Will MOUZ Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2? | SELL | 0.377 | $26.10 |
| 08-02 12:01 | Will MOUZ Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2? | SELL | 0.39 | $13.26 |
| 08-02 12:00 | Will MOUZ Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2? | SELL | 0.401 | $5.61 |
| 08-02 11:08 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.7399999988 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 10:27 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | BUY | 0.79 | $72.68 |
| 08-02 05:21 | Kazakhstan Kurultai Election: Adilet Wins Majority? | BUY | 0.95 | $38.00 |
| 08-02 05:21 | Kazakhstan Kurultai Election: Adilet Wins Majority? | BUY | 0.94 | $37.60 |
| 08-02 05:21 | Kazakhstan Kurultai Election: Adilet Wins Majority? | BUY | 0.9466666667 | $170.40 |
| 08-01 16:32 | Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | BUY | 0.8836569351 | $381.99 |
| 08-01 16:01 | Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.9827753038 | $504.44 |
| 08-01 15:11 | Will Marco Rubio say "Trump" 3+ times during Fox News: My View appearance? | BUY | 0.7695084746 | $45.40 |