PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

020112

0x187fbd3114592d6a5420c937ca14e9cf64f55fee

Realised P&L
$2.9k
Volume
$300.4k
Markets traded
44
Open portfolio
$31.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded44
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.2720.465$5.5k+$2.3k
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? · No0.4560.560$5.3k+$990.59
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? · No0.7890.790$4.7k+$4.63
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · Yes0.5180.675$4.6k+$1.1k
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.7990.800$3.3k+$4.95
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? · No0.7280.860$3.2k+$489.38
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? · Yes0.6170.565$3.0k$271.80
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? · Yes0.2460.345$1.2k+$330.17
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · Yes0.1760.214$643.50+$115.50
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? · No0.6300.440$26.40$11.40
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? · Yes0.5160.385$7.46$2.54
Iran full airspace closure by September 30? · No0.5100.645$3.23+$0.68

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 21:54Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.7988016523$3.3k
08-02 21:54Iran full airspace closure by August 31?BUY0.8100833879$1.7k
08-02 03:25Iran full airspace closure by August 15?BUY0.09$21.26
08-02 03:13Iran full airspace closure by August 31?BUY0.7778723635$3.0k
08-02 03:11Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?SELL0.81$105.41
08-02 02:55Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?BUY0.6642657948$322.04
08-02 02:35Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?SELL0.79$243.52
08-02 02:19Iran full airspace closure by December 31?BUY0.4846207063$701.90
08-02 00:53US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.16$500.00
08-02 00:10US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.1899558239$430.00
08-01 23:58US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.1698758073$136.78
08-01 01:56Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?SELL0.991$1.2k
07-31 21:22Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?BUY0.4399999999$1000.00
07-31 21:14Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.48$110.79
07-31 21:08US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?BUY0.0054314264$8.18