PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x196e9D0d3B34f40c78404658D0FD1536Ed271B86-1775352464658

0x196e9d0d3b34f40c78404658d0fd1536ed271b86

Realised P&L
$-398.96
Volume
$22.2k
Markets traded
49
Open portfolio
$58.55

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded49
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)35.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August? · Yes0.0170.008$14.05$15.95
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August? · Yes0.1730.055$12.74$27.26
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0140.021$10.48+$3.48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August? · Yes0.0210.010$9.58$10.42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August? · Yes0.0410.016$7.81$12.19
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.003$3.84$8.16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$9.61
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$5.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$10.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$1.92
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$10.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00$3.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in June? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00$4.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00$3.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$3.84

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 22:47Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August?BUY0.0409610851$20.00
07-31 22:47Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?BUY0.0208749694$20.00
07-31 22:47Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?BUY0.0170846716$30.00
07-31 22:28Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?BUY0.1726933413$40.00
07-23 09:20Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?BUY0.0176855162$10.00
07-23 09:20Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?BUY0.008$20.00
07-16 13:02Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0069999965$2.00
07-14 08:21Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?BUY0.0149781768$10.00
07-14 08:21Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?BUY0.0386229945$10.00
07-14 08:21Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?BUY0.0267050244$10.00
07-08 22:36Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?BUY0.092999993$11.00
07-08 22:36Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?BUY0.0405512331$15.00
07-08 22:35Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?BUY0.016$5.00
07-08 22:35Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?BUY0.0099527246$4.00
07-08 22:29Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?BUY0.018999998$8.98