PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

il1

0x198a843b90e1a52d573c6021e2bd6c5d1a093ca3

Realised P&L
$-5.4k
Volume
$1.71M
Markets traded
850
Open portfolio
$96.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded850
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.792$14.3k+$5.3k
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.8260.925$4.6k+$496.87
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.8470.945$3.8k+$392.82
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.207$3.7k$5.3k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7680.805$3.2k+$146.88
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.8970.915$2.7k+$53.00
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.9340.962$1.9k+$54.72
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · No0.8810.956$1.9k+$149.63
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.955$1.9k+$50.00
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8990.935$1.9k+$72.03
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.915$1.8k+$29.00
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.9190.951$1.6k+$53.61
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · No0.8710.885$1.3k+$21.27
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? · No0.9400.961$991.28+$21.17
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? · No0.9300.983$983.00+$52.62

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 20:54Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?BUY0.87$87.00
08-02 17:30Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?BUY0.92$127.75
08-02 03:07Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.882$92.60
08-02 02:59Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?SELL0.13$39.00
08-01 20:36US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.86$172.00
08-01 16:29US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.35$3.50
08-01 13:17Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.39$39.00
08-01 13:04Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.76$76.00
08-01 13:04Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.39$39.00
08-01 12:42Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?SELL0.37$18.50
08-01 11:08Trump meets with Putin by December 31?BUY0.73$73.00
08-01 10:34Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?BUY0.89$68.89
08-01 09:52Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? BUY0.92$92.92
08-01 09:51Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?BUY0.93$93.93
08-01 09:46Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?BUY0.83$83.00