0x1ab00789cb86835e726da556c8fc2c04ffc3f8c9
- Realised P&L
- $584.60
- Volume
- $17.4k
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $289.30
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$483.42at 0.106Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
- +$137.06at 0.068Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
- +$119.06at 0.144Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
- +$70.91at 0.220Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
- +$68.53at 0.028Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 13:58 | Will Rick Brattin be the MO-05 Republican nominee? | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |
| 07-30 13:58 | Will Fred Wellman be the MO-02 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.052 | $0.78 |
| 07-30 13:57 | Will Chris Stigall be the Republican nominee for MO-06? | BUY | 0.209999974 | $5.00 |
| 07-30 13:56 | Will Benjamin Ambrose be the MI-02 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.98 |
| 07-30 13:55 | Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10? | BUY | 0.209999974 | $5.00 |
| 07-30 13:55 | Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11? | BUY | 0.1089999821 | $5.00 |
| 07-30 13:43 | Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 07-30 10:54 | Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? | BUY | 0.359999987 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 10:22 | Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | BUY | 0.0819999934 | $11.00 |
| 07-30 10:21 | Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | BUY | 0.056 | $3.56 |
| 07-30 02:01 | Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.0697012713 | $7.00 |
| 07-30 01:57 | Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.0497995511 | $3.55 |
| 07-21 23:44 | Will Marquita Bradshaw be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee? | BUY | 0.0690000011 | $5.00 |
| 07-21 23:43 | Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 07-21 23:28 | Will Trey Gowdy be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.0565302043 | $5.00 |