PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

thelighthouse1337

0x1bbd4be39595b8a2ba03895f38c3f471b4673bed

Realised P&L
$-6.8k
Volume
$312.3k
Markets traded
9,072
Open portfolio
$3.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded9,072
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 4? · No0.8080.805$118.51$0.46
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m? · Yes0.4500.557$103.22+$19.90
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? · No0.5200.420$94.92$22.60
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 4? · No0.4800.425$85.00$11.00
Will Yordan Alvarez hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? · Yes0.4800.330$78.21$35.55
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 3? · No0.7200.685$68.50$3.50
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 4? · No0.8500.825$66.00$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on August 3? · No0.8600.895$65.06+$2.54
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 2? · Yes0.4701.000$63.64+$33.71
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 3? · No0.5900.575$57.50$1.50
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 4? · No0.6200.570$56.99$5.01
Will Celsius Holdings (CELH) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.5400.495$55.94$5.08
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 4? · No0.8700.695$55.52$13.99
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 4? · No0.6000.535$53.50$6.50
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 4? · No0.5200.505$50.50$1.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 21:55Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on August 2?SELL0.999$1.06
08-02 21:55Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 2?SELL0.999$1.11
08-02 21:55Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 2?SELL0.999$1.56
08-02 21:55Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 2?SELL0.999$2.00
08-02 21:55Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 2?SELL0.999$2.37
08-02 21:55Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 2?SELL0.999$2.64
08-02 21:55Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 2?SELL0.97$4.10
08-02 21:55Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 2?SELL0.999$6.54
08-02 21:55Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 2?SELL0.999$4.37
08-02 21:55Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 2?SELL0.997$8.31
08-02 21:55Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 2?SELL0.999$8.56
08-02 21:55Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on August 2?SELL0.999$10.67
08-02 21:29Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on August 2?SELL0.23$3.05
08-02 21:29Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 2?SELL0.3$1.50
08-02 21:29Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 102-103°F on August 2?SELL0.63$67.63