PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Jag16

0x1d7e91591ba84cd05236912e1272aaacb58f4db9

Realised P&L
$10.33
Volume
$25.6k
Markets traded
147
Open portfolio
$216.34

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded147
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7800.805$103.21+$3.21
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9580.981$81.88+$1.88
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.8000.955$23.88+$3.88
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1800.036$4.06$15.94
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.2400.095$1.19$1.81
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0020.002$0.75$0.25
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? · Yes0.1100.025$0.69$2.31
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? · No0.1710.076$0.45$0.55
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0020.001$0.25$0.75
Will Gary Woodland win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$1.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00$5.00
Will Keegan Bradley win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$2.00
The Masters 2026: Playoff? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$2.92
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1670.000$0.00$10.00
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-10 19:53Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.8799999965$10.00
06-10 19:52Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?BUY0.1799998704$1.00
06-10 19:52Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?BUY0.599999976$5.00
06-10 19:52Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?BUY0.699999972$5.00
06-10 19:52Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?BUY0.2599998648$1.00
06-10 19:51Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?BUY0.1899998784$1.00
06-10 19:51Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?BUY0.7699999877$5.00
06-10 19:51Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?BUY0.2099998677$1.00
06-10 19:51Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.209999974$5.00
06-10 19:51Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.6799999728$5.00
06-10 19:51Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.179999928$2.00
06-10 19:50Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?BUY0.0649999408$1.00
06-10 19:50Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.2699998542$1.00
06-10 19:50Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.4699999749$6.00
06-10 19:50Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?BUY0.2599998648$1.00