fd53
0x1e34c4780e0d89edc25efa00c69725d945092151
- Realised P&L
- $-58.11
- Volume
- $100.5k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $75.12
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration86.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.57at 0.720Games Total: O/U 3.5
- +$4.77at 0.961Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
- +$0.26at 0.454Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$0.17at 0.987Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by January 31, 2025?
- +$0.15at 0.981Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 11:20 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 14? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.06 |
| 07-14 11:19 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 14? | BUY | 0.988 | $1.01 |
| 07-14 11:18 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 14? | BUY | 0.9981889219 | $1.01 |
| 07-14 11:18 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.01 |
| 07-14 11:18 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 14? | BUY | 0.9979990573 | $1.01 |
| 07-14 11:17 | Will "Iceman - Drake" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 25? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.01 |
| 07-14 11:16 | Will "Dandelion - Ella Langley" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 25? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.01 |
| 07-14 11:16 | Will "The Wow! Signal - Muse" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 25? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.01 |
| 05-02 12:32 | QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30? | BUY | 0.9909999971 | $1.03 |
| 05-02 12:31 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 2? | BUY | 0.998999166 | $1.09 |
| 05-02 12:31 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 2? | BUY | 0.9979994195 | $1.09 |
| 05-02 12:29 | Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999995 | $2.21 |
| 05-02 12:23 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on May 2? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.09 |
| 05-02 12:23 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on May 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.09 |
| 03-03 05:50 | Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.22 |