sitemapbsan
0x1e673bf63885fa135cad3f59b7ee084208f244bc
- Realised P&L
- $6.3k
- Volume
- $89.0k
- Markets traded
- 93
- Open portfolio
- $249.92
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded93
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.6kat 0.044Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
- +$1.8kat 0.073U.S. strike on Somalia by March 7?
- +$1.5kat 0.082Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
- +$303.23at 0.080Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?
- +$276.56at 0.091Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-18 12:38 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.88 | $66.00 |
| 04-18 00:42 | Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.994 | $29.82 |
| 04-18 00:42 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.994 | $29.82 |
| 04-18 00:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9834353333 | $29.50 |
| 04-18 00:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.984 | $29.52 |
| 04-18 00:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $29.40 |
| 04-18 00:42 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.962 | $28.86 |
| 03-31 14:18 | Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.90 |
| 03-31 14:18 | Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.2511629244 | $18.79 |
| 03-31 13:32 | Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by April 30? | SELL | 0.22 | $32.40 |
| 03-27 05:06 | Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $11.82 |
| 03-23 14:11 | Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $43.32 |
| 03-23 01:08 | Will Otto Ritter win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.32 | $19.74 |
| 03-19 10:23 | Will César Dockweiler win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election? | BUY | 0.162 | $16.62 |
| 03-18 00:15 | Will Kate Abughazaleh be the Democratic nominee for IL-09? | SELL | 0.18 | $17.46 |