Changho
0x1e864c94086739dfd8fbbaf1800c0d0406084252
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $64.8k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $964.49
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? · Yes | 0.095 | 0.108 | $663.94 | +$80.60 |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? · Yes | 0.091 | 0.120 | $214.82 | +$51.82 |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.035 | $40.16 | +$10.16 |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027? · Yes | 0.218 | 0.101 | $29.13 | −$34.00 |
| Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027? · Yes | 0.069 | 0.054 | $9.44 | −$2.56 |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.042 | $7.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$225.96at 0.299Will Kim Moon-soo win more than 40% of the vote in the South Korea election?
- +$132.00at 0.200UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$31.35at 0.510UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
- +$8.71at 0.130US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$7.16at 0.220US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 12:54 | Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | BUY | 0.0194674087 | $20.00 |
| 07-06 00:08 | Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | BUY | 0.0726029647 | $3.95 |
| 07-04 09:48 | Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | BUY | 0.0963179721 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 09:40 | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.0909836945 | $120.00 |
| 07-04 07:06 | Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | BUY | 0.088 | $11.52 |
| 07-04 07:06 | Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | BUY | 0.0979999991 | $100.00 |
| 07-04 03:35 | Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | BUY | 0.085 | $24.82 |
| 07-04 03:35 | Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | BUY | 0.095483135 | $100.00 |
| 07-04 03:35 | Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | BUY | 0.0934757831 | $100.00 |
| 07-04 03:34 | Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | BUY | 0.0939520022 | $100.00 |
| 07-04 03:13 | Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | BUY | 0.084 | $0.78 |
| 06-13 05:46 | UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5099999936 | $32.63 |
| 06-13 05:46 | UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.44 | $33.00 |
| 06-13 05:46 | UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.2 | $33.00 |
| 05-31 12:55 | Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections? | BUY | 0.013 | $10.00 |