Fredi9999
0x1f2dd6d473f3e824cd2f8a89d9c69fb96f6ad0cf
- Realised P&L
- $16.62M
- Volume
- $76.62M
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar21.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.71Mat 0.543Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$3.76Mat 0.317Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
- +$794.8kat 0.286Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?
- +$761.8kat 0.001Will Nikki Haley win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
- +$714.7kat 0.515Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-24 05:24 | Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.374847338 | $6.6k |
| 10-24 05:23 | Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | BUY | 0.3737070983 | $14.2k |
| 10-23 20:49 | Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.55 | $745.74 |
| 10-23 20:48 | Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.55 | $5.2k |
| 10-23 20:48 | Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.54 | $10.2k |
| 10-23 20:48 | Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.54 | $5.9k |
| 10-23 19:47 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.63 | $30.0k |
| 10-23 19:12 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.638 | $7.3k |
| 10-23 19:11 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.637 | $42.3k |
| 10-23 19:10 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.634 | $11.4k |
| 10-23 18:34 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.639 | $60.1k |
| 10-23 18:09 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.6410869826 | $108.5k |
| 10-23 17:58 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.6321377361 | $124.8k |
| 10-23 17:58 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.6272379078 | $45.9k |
| 10-23 15:22 | Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | BUY | 0.3913790803 | $2.9k |