PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

damao888

0x2000a4ecc4df598a1a9ad714bbaa191712fb176a

Realised P&L
$-19.78
Volume
$357.78
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$71.85

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration84.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.8300.605$60.50$22.50
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.8200.895$8.95+$0.75
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3200.125$1.25$1.95
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.6100.115$1.15$4.95
US government shutdown Saturday? · No0.2500.000$0.00$5.00
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Algeria? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump visit China by April 30? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$1.20
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00$2.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-22 05:44Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.6299999958$6.00
06-22 05:36Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?BUY0.6699999625$5.00
06-16 04:05Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Algeria?BUY0.1699998861$1.00
06-16 04:05Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?BUY0.7099999815$10.00
06-16 04:04Will France win on 2026-06-16?BUY0.6699999839$10.00
05-31 07:10Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?BUY0.83$31.25
05-28 02:05Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.61$6.10
05-28 02:03Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.32$3.20
05-28 01:53Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.82$8.20
03-22 06:45Will Trump visit China by April 30?BUY0.12$1.20
01-26 08:24Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.84$16.80
01-26 08:24US government shutdown Saturday?BUY0.25$5.00
10-30 06:28Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?SELL0.9987135778$50.39
10-03 10:09Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?BUY0.9909999953$50.00