Mine-Carrying-Dolphin
0x20d919b88e1cede2093f6a9cfc94734c2ad95490
- Realised P&L
- $86.4k
- Volume
- $2.25M
- Markets traded
- 173
- Open portfolio
- $214.79
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded173
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? · Yes | 0.242 | 0.145 | $208.22 | −$138.98 |
| Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? · Yes | 0.316 | 0.029 | $6.56 | −$63.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.9kat 0.201Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
- +$11.4kat 0.154Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
- +$10.3kat 0.103Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
- +$9.4kat 0.827Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
- +$7.5kat 0.511MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 21:36 | Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30? | BUY | 0.8213725436 | $298.86 |
| 06-27 17:24 | Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27? | BUY | 0.7480049261 | $303.69 |
| 06-27 17:22 | Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $182.91 |
| 06-27 17:22 | Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15? | BUY | 0.9 | $368.32 |
| 06-27 17:22 | Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30? | BUY | 0.8597789759 | $641.07 |
| 06-27 10:25 | Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $1.1k |
| 06-18 17:42 | Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $87.21 |
| 06-15 12:10 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar? | SELL | 0.4157314016 | $376.76 |
| 06-15 12:10 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.238169755 | $476.34 |
| 06-04 00:19 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.60 |
| 06-03 22:11 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $7.72 |
| 06-03 14:13 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $49.7k |
| 06-03 10:41 | Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by December 31? | BUY | 0.76 | $61.27 |
| 06-02 22:48 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.989 | $49.5k |
| 06-01 19:10 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2317835 | $463.57 |