PITON2026
0x2142e247d307bea9d271b62d90f4c434bf366b8c
- Realised P&L
- $266.99
- Volume
- $39.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,099
- Open portfolio
- $163.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,099
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.86at 0.098Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?
- +$23.37at 0.041Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$19.16at 0.021Will MrBeast's next video get between 37.5 and 38 million views in week 1?
- +$14.79at 0.130Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?
- +$13.14at 0.070Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 06:59 | Will Google be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.06 |
| 08-03 06:35 | Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $0.89 |
| 08-01 20:06 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? | SELL | 0.016 | $0.48 |
| 08-01 17:24 | Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.145 | $5.97 |
| 08-01 11:50 | Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $3.60 |
| 07-31 20:16 | Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? | SELL | 0.22 | $11.61 |
| 07-31 17:44 | Will MrBeast's next video get less than 37 million views in week 1? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 07-31 08:01 | Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in August? | SELL | 0.10931 | $2.19 |
| 07-31 06:09 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0299999857 | $2.00 |
| 07-30 20:36 | Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.171 | $10.26 |
| 07-30 13:27 | Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 07-30 08:55 | Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.50 |
| 07-30 08:53 | Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30? | BUY | 0.018 | $0.27 |
| 07-30 06:43 | Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.45 | $5.81 |
| 07-30 06:41 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | SELL | 0.298 | $1.49 |