PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

gandalf

0x21f90e5ff30c12f52fbb2fb220aa268f22faed12

Realised P&L
$9.8k
Volume
$21.10M
Markets traded
1,087
Open portfolio
$28.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,087
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration34.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0240.140$2.8k+$2.3k
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0080.009$2.0k+$172.76
Will the Democratic Party win the HI-02 House seat? · Yes0.9200.955$1.9k+$70.00
Will the Republican Party win the OH-06 House seat? · Yes0.9000.935$1.9k+$70.00
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.5100.415$1.8k$417.41
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.7800.875$1.7k+$190.00
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0080.207$1.6k+$1.6k
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? · No0.7250.983$1.4k+$360.40
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0130.011$1.0k$250.00
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1100.051$1.0k$1.2k
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0420.049$970.00+$124.32
Will the Republican Party win the FL-01 House seat? · Yes0.9100.955$955.00+$45.00
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0800.095$950.00+$150.00
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · No0.8500.925$650.27+$52.72
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0240.025$508.00+$35.84

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-28 22:21Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.0152141403$602.92
04-28 21:18GTA VI released before June 2026?SELL0.98616572$986.17
04-28 21:15Will Casey DeSantis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.0149376535$30.17
04-28 20:53Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?BUY0.2487228008$291.14
04-28 20:18Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.016$81.88
04-28 20:13Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.009$80.63
04-28 20:11Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.01$51.18
04-28 20:02Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.017$27.03
04-28 18:53Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.0275845397$480.67
04-28 18:50Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.001$2.53
04-28 16:55Will the Democratic Party win the OH-06 House seat?BUY0.09$211.50
04-28 15:43Will the Republican Party win the FL-01 House seat?BUY0.91$910.00
04-28 15:212026 Balance of Power: OtherSELL0.0072357006$168.15
04-28 15:04Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?BUY0.028$28.00
04-28 14:55Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?BUY0.023$3.45