PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

absol

0x22292decebf2e9146b27fe59404d162447ea6bf8

Realised P&L
$56.8k
Volume
$557.4k
Markets traded
255
Open portfolio
$4.8k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar10.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded255
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record? · No0.9540.914$516.40$22.60
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0070.022$337.82+$237.83
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting? · Yes0.9330.979$209.69+$9.69
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? · No0.9360.974$208.16+$8.16
Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election? · Yes0.9150.935$204.33+$4.33
Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July? · No0.9520.965$202.57+$2.57
Israeli forces enter Choukine by July 31? · No0.9680.978$202.02+$2.02
Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.9400.947$201.38+$1.38
Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? · No0.9400.946$201.28+$1.28
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · Yes0.9710.976$201.02+$1.02
Will Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11? · No0.9180.914$199.32$0.68
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07? · Yes0.9310.925$198.78$1.22
Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · No0.9350.919$196.68$3.32
Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the August Meeting? · Yes0.9960.979$196.54$3.46
Will Eric Chung be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10? · No0.9400.920$195.74$4.26

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 16:09Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.9199999965$200.00
08-02 16:08Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BUY0.9350088983$200.00
08-02 16:07Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.94$200.00
08-01 12:19Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the August Meeting?BUY0.9957090177$200.00
08-01 12:19Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 2?BUY0.92$100.00
08-01 12:18Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.9151683682$200.00
08-01 12:16Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?BUY0.9$100.00
08-01 12:14Mike Johnson out as Speaker by September 30?BUY0.9493670878$100.00
08-01 12:12Will Rashida Tlaib be the MI-12 Democratic nominee?BUY0.9896041583$100.00
08-01 12:11Will Eric Chung be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?BUY0.94$200.00
08-01 12:10Will Sean McCann be the MI-04 Democratic nominee?BUY0.9887033889$100.00
08-01 12:08Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?BUY0.9306930691$200.00
08-01 12:07Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July?BUY0.9522626177$200.00
08-01 12:01Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?BUY0.9710336531$200.00
08-01 11:58Will Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?BUY0.917623447$200.00