PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

mikatrade77

0x23786fdad0073692157c6d7dc81f281843a35fcb

Realised P&L
$5.15M
Volume
$10.88M
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$0.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar47.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration37.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-06 03:27Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.88$10.6k
11-06 02:47Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.78367036$39.2k
11-06 02:46Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.775$18.2k
11-05 22:39Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?BUY0.5$14.1k
11-05 22:39Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?BUY0.5$5.2k
11-05 22:38Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?BUY0.49$4.4k
11-05 22:38Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?BUY0.49$2.1k
11-05 22:27Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?BUY0.49$244.68
11-05 22:26Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?BUY0.51$9.8k
11-05 22:22Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?BUY0.51$2.4k
11-05 22:21Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?BUY0.51$1.8k
11-05 22:20Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?BUY0.49$480.00
11-05 15:48Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?BUY0.273$110.67
11-05 15:48Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?BUY0.273$12.4k
11-05 15:48Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?BUY0.273$183.02