PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Trading4Fridge

0x25257a6a89dba93dd0c536b6279365632a4eb919

Realised P&L
$63.2k
Volume
$12.27M
Markets traded
1,831
Open portfolio
$27.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,831
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Weed rescheduled by December 31? · Yes0.3490.227$2.5k$1.3k
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · No0.4840.825$2.5k+$1.0k
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 · Yes0.1580.335$2.3k+$1.2k
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? · Yes0.4720.489$2.0k+$71.29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4880.345$2.0k$813.22
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · No0.6690.875$1.4k+$340.80
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? · Yes0.7000.665$1.4k$73.81
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 10–15 seconds by July 31, 2026? · No0.8771.000$1.4k+$169.09
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3800.115$1.3k$3.0k
Trump goes to space in 2026? · No0.9480.984$1.2k+$41.91
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · No0.3600.230$1.1k$644.47
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? · No0.8070.850$1.1k+$55.31
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · No0.8660.969$805.50+$85.25
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3180.248$739.26$205.89
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1620.140$698.77$108.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 21:24Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?SELL0.19$1.9k
07-29 19:00Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.35$64.86
07-29 18:55Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?BUY0.35$399.12
07-29 18:49Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.31$474.14
07-29 16:34Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.36$1.8k
07-29 16:31Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?SELL0.64$942.81
07-29 13:55Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?SELL0.5017140898$600.03
07-29 12:22Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?BUY0.0888789138$19.90
07-29 12:21US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?SELL0.42$969.56
07-29 12:21Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?SELL0.53$667.28
07-29 12:20Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?SELL0.6179767618$2.4k
07-28 16:46US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?SELL0.51$187.17
07-28 16:32Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 10–15 seconds by July 31, 2026?BUY0.8773772931$1.2k
07-28 16:32Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds by July 31, 2026?BUY0.84$507.26
07-28 14:06US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?SELL0.53$1.3k