PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x253da8157571bae06d6cf750eeb1b26830a43307

Realised P&L
$73.2k
Volume
$19.11M
Markets traded
539
Open portfolio
$27.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded539
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration52.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0810.146$6.8k+$3.0k
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.140$4.1k$10.7k
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.049$2.8k+$2.3k
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0040.051$2.7k+$2.5k
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0040.021$1.2k+$966.43
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0150.011$1.2k$314.43
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.029$1.1k+$820.54
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0040.013$942.96+$667.97
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.086$829.35+$753.57
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0040.025$796.26+$672.84
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0040.015$650.31+$473.74
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.006$445.68$100.72
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0040.005$384.17+$109.17
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0040.005$329.17+$93.54
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0040.005$303.94+$86.37

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-20 18:34Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?BUY0.994$9.9k
07-08 22:29Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.1513345$302.67
06-23 21:05Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.092$32.24
06-15 18:39Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.995$322.37
06-11 14:50Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.75$600.00
06-02 19:00MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.992$1.5k
06-02 18:59MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.992$992.00
05-27 15:34Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.006$30.01
05-27 15:33Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.009$313.64
05-26 20:52Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.02$100.00
05-19 21:28Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.02$773.59
05-18 18:31Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.95$950.00
05-18 18:30Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.014$28.00
05-18 18:29Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.02$100.00
05-18 18:27Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?BUY0.9462650404$103.18