PeterMich
0x25c2a7c4d7f3ef5e4af3eb93a1b7f7056ca37458
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $530.0k
- Markets traded
- 164
- Open portfolio
- $3.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded164
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.097Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$927.64at 0.090US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$505.38at 0.300Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs
- +$196.46at 0.238Counter-Strike: Just Players vs SAW (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs
- +$162.60at 0.412MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 12:19 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? | BUY | 0.006 | $5.00 |
| 07-24 05:22 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? | BUY | 0.0269999995 | $50.00 |
| 07-18 21:48 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.03 | $15.00 |
| 07-18 21:48 | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.00 |
| 07-16 16:06 | Counter-Strike: NIP vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.02 | $5.67 |
| 07-16 15:34 | Counter-Strike: NIP vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.24 | $30.00 |
| 07-16 15:25 | Counter-Strike: NIP vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.3299999988 | $170.00 |
| 07-15 20:47 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | SELL | 0.147187199 | $311.72 |
| 07-15 20:43 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.0599999946 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 20:21 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.1024999996 | $200.00 |
| 07-14 12:16 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? | BUY | 0.0698254333 | $20.00 |
| 07-13 07:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | BUY | 0.0274097497 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 14:57 | Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs | BUY | 0.02 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 14:34 | Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs NIP (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe Playoffs | SELL | 0.3601611764 | $321.11 |
| 07-09 14:13 | Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs NIP (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe Playoffs | BUY | 0.18 | $63.00 |