PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x25fc244669c9757d6b12b7092862976e410cdd0d

Realised P&L
$3.3k
Volume
$28.8k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$3.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar11.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? · Yes0.7360.725$3.6k$54.05
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.3800.185$35.89$37.83
Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-28 18:10US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.7357485268$3.7k
06-23 14:06Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23?SELL0.201$20.50
06-23 14:05Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23?BUY0.1902745098$19.41
06-23 13:32 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?SELL0.9746088187$2.4k
06-20 19:24Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0482775164$50.00
06-18 23:52 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?BUY0.4019075117$1000.00
06-02 16:43Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.3579999989$100.00
04-27 18:02Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?SELL0.1150920091$45.66
04-24 15:00US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?BUY0.6799999999$1.5k
04-23 16:17Will Trump say "Fake News" during healthcare event?BUY0.4070383912$106.04
04-22 13:51US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?SELL0.995$1.0k
04-22 04:03US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?SELL0.999$529.97
04-20 21:24US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?BUY0.2599999945$30.00
04-19 18:52US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?BUY0.3769979641$200.00
04-19 18:39US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?BUY0.2913697105$104.66