PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Q96s3kwozynxpau

0x2663daca3cecf3767ca1c3b126002a8578a8ed1f

Realised P&L
$640.1k
Volume
$483.14M
Markets traded
519
Open portfolio
$115.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded519
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.278$15.0k+$14.5k
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.192$12.1k$19.4k
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.146$6.6k+$6.3k
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.140$6.2k+$5.9k
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0080.118$2.7k+$2.5k
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.049$2.7k+$2.3k
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.051$2.4k+$2.0k
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.086$2.0k+$1.8k
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.005$1.8k$979.08
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.030$1.6k+$1.2k
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.021$1.6k+$955.64
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4330.021$1.5k$28.5k
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0080.095$1.4k+$1.2k
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.025$1.3k+$921.26
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.022$1.3k+$865.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 21:22Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.003$329.81
08-01 21:21Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.003$289.36
08-01 10:04Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.002$455.84
08-01 09:44Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.002$155.33
08-01 04:42Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.003$420.49
07-29 19:44Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.005$631.06
07-29 15:44Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.003$15.16
07-29 15:24Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.004$231.23
07-29 08:13Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.003$214.21
07-28 19:55Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.003$384.50
07-28 13:24Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.004$4.69
07-25 20:44Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.006$1.5k
07-24 10:46Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.002$128.71
07-22 16:25Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.012$12.41
07-22 15:47Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.01$0.05