Q96s3kwozynxpau
0x2663daca3cecf3767ca1c3b126002a8578a8ed1f
- Realised P&L
- $640.1k
- Volume
- $483.14M
- Markets traded
- 519
- Open portfolio
- $115.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded519
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.24Mat 0.500Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.13Mat 0.017Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$677.4kat 0.017Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$463.0kat 0.020Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$185.2kat 0.500Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 21:22 | Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.003 | $329.81 |
| 08-01 21:21 | Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.003 | $289.36 |
| 08-01 10:04 | Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.002 | $455.84 |
| 08-01 09:44 | Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.002 | $155.33 |
| 08-01 04:42 | Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.003 | $420.49 |
| 07-29 19:44 | Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.005 | $631.06 |
| 07-29 15:44 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.003 | $15.16 |
| 07-29 15:24 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.004 | $231.23 |
| 07-29 08:13 | Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.003 | $214.21 |
| 07-28 19:55 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.003 | $384.50 |
| 07-28 13:24 | Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.004 | $4.69 |
| 07-25 20:44 | Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.006 | $1.5k |
| 07-24 10:46 | Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.002 | $128.71 |
| 07-22 16:25 | Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.012 | $12.41 |
| 07-22 15:47 | Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |