Dontdothisoften
0x26cb23d5484ba46bc19b597945d3fa8586e46233
- Realised P&L
- $-25.8k
- Volume
- $307.3k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.065 | $2.5k | −$4.0k |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$449.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-610.09at 0.164Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$-9.6kat 0.212Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
- +$-11.2kat 0.367Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-29 16:04 | Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1? | BUY | 0.0470892383 | $100.00 |
| 04-29 15:18 | Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1? | BUY | 0.0565400216 | $50.00 |
| 04-29 15:13 | Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1? | BUY | 0.0506654757 | $100.00 |
| 04-29 15:10 | Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1? | BUY | 0.0167046977 | $200.00 |
| 03-08 18:34 | H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.1669179033 | $99.77 |
| 03-08 18:33 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | SELL | 0.2124223564 | $6.6k |
| 03-08 17:01 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BUY | 0.3668970599 | $11.4k |
| 03-08 16:17 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | SELL | 0.329427629 | $9.6k |
| 03-07 00:44 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | SELL | 0.0300677883 | $50.52 |
| 03-07 00:44 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | SELL | 0.0335970987 | $1.8k |
| 03-07 00:34 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | BUY | 0.1367130892 | $1.4k |
| 03-07 00:34 | Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | SELL | 0.113668555 | $1.4k |
| 03-06 21:14 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | BUY | 0.2291443576 | $10.0k |
| 03-06 21:13 | Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BUY | 0.1635621935 | $2.0k |
| 03-06 19:00 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BUY | 0.5490867968 | $293.03 |