PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

TheBigMuscle

0x270afb53118b0f5a9d706f4d90b82bb877d27b78

Realised P&L
$-3.6k
Volume
$854.2k
Markets traded
622
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded622
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration55.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · No0.6620.870$814.28+$194.87
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · No0.8900.885$444.46$2.51
Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.9580.989$171.36+$5.23
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.3420.110$143.16$301.42
Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · Yes0.0810.081$41.86$0.17
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.1300.145$41.62+$4.37
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? · No0.2800.075$24.33$66.46
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · No0.2700.220$20.30$4.61
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? · Yes0.3840.079$16.48$64.11
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1480.090$16.26$10.50
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? · No0.4860.730$13.87+$4.63
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.0810.057$13.10$5.63
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? · Yes0.0400.017$7.42$10.15
Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · Yes0.0590.013$7.02$23.88
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.1400.045$3.73$7.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 19:43Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.0113125$0.91
07-31 17:04Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026?BUY0.9583143928$166.12
07-31 16:57Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.997$9.97
07-31 16:50Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?BUY0.057$3.00
07-23 23:03Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.003$7.19
07-23 22:29Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?BUY0.26$28.40
07-23 01:54Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BUY0.64$42.21
07-23 01:50Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?BUY0.29$62.38
07-20 08:12Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BUY0.89$446.97
07-20 08:11Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?SELL0.999$279.65
07-20 08:00Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.004$0.72
07-20 08:00Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.063$11.34
07-20 08:00Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.003$0.54
07-20 08:00Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.001$0.18
07-20 08:00Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.067$12.06