0x277f95cec512b429728c20cb4e791d53a327dfc8
- Realised P&L
- $18.89
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 442
- Open portfolio
- $48.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded442
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.67at 0.144England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?
- +$11.40at 0.221Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$6.37at 0.246Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
- +$5.60at 0.150Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?
- +$4.43at 0.330Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 06:18 | Will Victor Wembanyama be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? | SELL | 0.93 | $2.30 |
| 08-02 22:47 | Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? | BUY | 0.6299998382 | $1.09 |
| 08-02 18:38 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | SELL | 0.63 | $0.64 |
| 08-02 18:38 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | SELL | 0.63 | $1.59 |
| 08-02 15:48 | Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | BUY | 0.8899999837 | $1.09 |
| 08-02 14:29 | Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | BUY | 0.6699994591 | $1.09 |
| 08-02 14:22 | Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | BUY | 0.6699994591 | $1.09 |
| 08-02 14:22 | Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | BUY | 0.6699994591 | $1.09 |
| 08-02 14:21 | Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | BUY | 0.6699994591 | $1.09 |
| 08-02 11:16 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | BUY | 0.1899998623 | $1.09 |
| 08-02 11:14 | Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.09 |
| 08-02 07:47 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.6499998211 | $1.09 |
| 08-02 06:42 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.09 |
| 08-02 02:25 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | SELL | 0.69 | $1.03 |
| 08-02 02:00 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.6299998382 | $1.09 |