Drake1123
0x27a360f812d350048c9d49700b109a41c2849a72
- Realised P&L
- $883.27
- Volume
- $172.4k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $72.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran leadership change by August 31? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.024 | $72.01 | −$41.99 |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? · Yes | 0.075 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$95.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.233Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
- +$634.25at 0.071Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
- +$449.05at 0.029Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
- +$130.48at 0.059Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 12, 2026?
- +$95.62at 0.039Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 09:15 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | SELL | 0.0207274731 | $44.47 |
| 08-01 17:31 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | BUY | 0.1 | $166.00 |
| 08-01 17:21 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | BUY | 0.09 | $27.00 |
| 08-01 16:18 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.81 |
| 07-31 18:43 | Iran leadership change by August 31? | BUY | 0.0379933342 | $114.00 |
| 07-25 09:40 | Iran leadership change by July 31? | SELL | 0.018707131 | $124.05 |
| 07-25 09:35 | Iran leadership change by July 31? | SELL | 0.0261966904 | $6.52 |
| 07-25 09:30 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | SELL | 0.05 | $36.51 |
| 07-25 09:30 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | SELL | 0.05 | $109.53 |
| 07-23 12:29 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24? | SELL | 0.017 | $5.74 |
| 07-22 19:47 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24? | BUY | 0.048 | $24.00 |
| 07-22 19:46 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24? | BUY | 0.04791087 | $47.91 |
| 07-22 16:57 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24? | BUY | 0.0479800074 | $48.00 |
| 07-21 21:28 | Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | SELL | 0.07 | $119.96 |
| 07-21 07:59 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | SELL | 0.09 | $54.00 |