sgeymsbak
0x2879d10fc3e1c3dcd38e07f681587de16f96a894
- Realised P&L
- $-381.02
- Volume
- $98.1k
- Markets traded
- 270
- Open portfolio
- $23.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded270
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.80at 0.150US strike on Cuba by December 31?
- +$5.05at 0.410Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
- +$3.39at 0.690Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$0.30at 0.660Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
- +$-0.10at 0.048Starmer out by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-06 00:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 03-28 20:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $0.20 |
| 03-28 19:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 03-26 14:58 | Dogecoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 03-26 14:57 | Dogecoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.2296650399 | $4.92 |
| 03-26 14:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 03-26 14:54 | Solana Up or Down - March 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 03-26 14:49 | Solana Up or Down - March 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 03-26 10:49 | Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 03-26 10:49 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 03-26 10:46 | Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 03-26 10:45 | Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 03-26 10:41 | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $2.00 |
| 03-26 10:28 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $2.00 |
| 03-26 09:55 | Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.44 | $72.44 |