PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ZnotluvuiSamez

0x288999fc80af0b29cd5b22fc1c2b8987db3b9226

Realised P&L
$-225.5k
Volume
$4.95M
Markets traded
48
Open portfolio
$398.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded48
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration74.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration84.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1310.085$338.3k$184.8k
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1330.085$57.4k$32.3k
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? · Yes0.0810.021$1.4k$4.0k
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? · Yes0.0590.040$413.05$194.30
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0380.029$390.32$121.07
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0240.013$289.66$256.87
Russia coup attempt in 2026? · Yes0.1220.075$30.64$19.36
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026? · No0.4000.000$0.00$4.00
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? · No0.1000.000$0.00$2.00
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" or "Dumocrat" or "Dumacrat" this week? · No0.0900.000$0.00$2.00
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 26? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00$8.60
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00$4.00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 26? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$5.00
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? · No0.2500.000$0.00$5.06
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Team Bald (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs · VP.Prodigy0.5400.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 05:24Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999993$110.13
08-02 05:23Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?SELL0.0216159642$110.13
08-02 05:23Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999975$30.13
08-01 07:30Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999975$30.13
07-31 09:58Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0307093006$30.12
07-30 07:44Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0300372371$30.11
07-29 18:24Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0349999995$69.39
07-29 18:24Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999997$250.00
07-28 17:09Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?SELL0.0360059346$259.19
07-27 17:38Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999991$90.28
07-24 05:48Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999999$1.0k
07-24 05:47Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0365832723$133.00
07-24 05:47Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1014179918$1.1k
07-23 08:02Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.09$4.5k
07-21 20:14Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?BUY0.0189951336$29.63