tangora
0x28b978fc65ad03b5d71e4cc4cd558d54bcd4a995
- Realised P&L
- $-8.6k
- Volume
- $2.55M
- Markets traded
- 139
- Open portfolio
- $445.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded139
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.260 | $260.00 | −$140.00 |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.185 | $185.00 | −$215.00 |
| Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? · No | 0.047 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$939.80 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? · No | 0.727 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.2k |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$88.00 |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$222.74 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? · No | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$210.01 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? · No | 0.685 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.6k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.7kat 0.347Will Trump visit China by April 30?
- +$3.2kat 0.358Will Trump visit China by March 31?
- +$1.5kat 0.250Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
- +$1.2kat 0.743US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$1.0kat 0.610Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-14 22:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $8.57 |
| 04-14 22:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | BUY | 0.09 | $38.82 |
| 04-14 22:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET | BUY | 0.03 | $25.81 |
| 04-14 21:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.1271065393 | $128.42 |
| 04-14 21:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.0716544133 | $46.02 |
| 04-12 15:19 | Military action against Iran ends on April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $8.55 |
| 04-12 15:19 | Military action against Iran ends on April 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $6.06 |
| 04-12 15:19 | Military action against Iran ends on April 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $6.27 |
| 04-12 15:19 | Military action against Iran ends on April 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $6.67 |
| 04-12 15:19 | Military action against Iran ends on April 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $14.03 |
| 04-12 15:19 | Military action against Iran ends on April 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $50.00 |
| 04-12 15:19 | Military action against Iran ends on April 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $50.00 |
| 04-12 15:19 | Military action against Iran ends on April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $50.00 |
| 04-12 15:19 | Military action against Iran ends on April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $50.00 |
| 04-12 15:18 | Military action against Iran ends on April 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $50.00 |