plainfolder
0x28bf066c6cb952da62d6d182c16ad173ada64a4e
- Realised P&L
- $76.7k
- Volume
- $5.35M
- Markets traded
- 37,538
- Open portfolio
- $292.43
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded37,538
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.1kat 0.087Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
- +$5.5kat 0.422Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$4.7kat 0.423Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$3.6kat 0.077Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$3.4kat 0.742Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 08:58 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 08-03 08:57 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 08-03 08:57 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.998 | $29.94 |
| 08-03 08:55 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 08-03 08:55 | Will Vinicius Junior join Bayern Munich? | BUY | 0.999 | $39.96 |
| 08-03 08:55 | Will Vinicius Junior join Al-Nassr? | BUY | 0.998 | $39.92 |
| 08-03 08:53 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.70 |
| 08-03 08:53 | Will GamerLegion win 1win Essence II? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 08-03 08:52 | Will GamerLegion win 1win Essence II? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 08-03 08:52 | Will BLG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? | BUY | 0.78 | $7.80 |
| 08-03 08:52 | Will BLG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? | BUY | 0.78 | $35.10 |
| 08-03 08:52 | Will BLG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? | BUY | 0.78 | $39.00 |
| 08-03 08:52 | Will BLG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? | BUY | 0.78 | $23.40 |
| 08-03 08:52 | Will BLG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? | BUY | 0.78 | $78.00 |
| 08-03 08:52 | Will BLG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? | BUY | 0.7712340426 | $181.24 |