drqwert
0x293044715c40fb8ff50d0a7e7a62e87fda534cf8
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $554.0k
- Markets traded
- 545
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded545
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.225 | $730.81 | −$113.68 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.085 | $714.93 | −$42.05 |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No | 0.040 | 0.028 | $159.12 | −$74.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.478Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)
- +$1.0kat 0.500Napolitano vs. Barrena: Match O/U 22.5
- +$993.22at 0.364Australian Open Men's: Jaume Munar vs Dalibor Svrcina
- +$934.16at 0.307Set 4 Winner: Minaur vs Burruchaga
- +$880.60at 0.470Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-17 14:45 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | BUY | 0.47 | $122.20 |
| 07-16 17:06 | Valorant: Fnatic vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega | BUY | 0.019 | $0.68 |
| 07-16 16:57 | Valorant: Fnatic vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega | BUY | 0.0299147742 | $4.64 |
| 07-16 16:22 | Valorant: Fnatic vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega | BUY | 0.08 | $8.00 |
| 07-16 16:21 | Valorant: Fnatic vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega | BUY | 0.08 | $8.00 |
| 07-16 16:09 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) | BUY | 0.45 | $899.99 |
| 07-16 16:08 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | BUY | 0.3586270204 | $525.85 |
| 07-16 12:34 | Kitzbuehel: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Barbora Palicova | SELL | 0.35 | $70.00 |
| 07-15 19:02 | Rio Noguchi vs. Dhakshineswar Suresh: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.59 | $4.17 |
| 07-15 18:19 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | BUY | 0.43 | $21.50 |
| 07-15 11:46 | Ilinca Amariei vs. Elsa Jacquemot: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.8 | $16.00 |
| 07-15 08:50 | Ilinca Amariei vs. Elsa Jacquemot: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.91 | $263.14 |
| 07-14 17:55 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.74 | $91.76 |
| 07-14 16:07 | Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Anhelina Kalinina | BUY | 0.27 | $146.34 |
| 07-14 15:58 | Swedish Open: Max Dahlin vs Sebastian Baez | BUY | 0.666 | $482.18 |