cleoclaudiu
0x2934efa3cc0794953270262e9da00c04e21d0b51
- Realised P&L
- $13.5k
- Volume
- $1.99M
- Markets traded
- 3,212
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,212
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration5.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics · Detroit Tigers | 0.510 | 1.000 | $549.70 | +$269.21 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · Boston Red Sox | 0.400 | 0.605 | $332.74 | +$112.75 |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves · Atlanta Braves | 0.560 | 0.545 | $299.75 | −$8.25 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians · Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$225.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.8kat 0.455Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$3.3kat 0.019Will Auckland City vs. Boca Juniors end in a draw?
- +$1.9kat 0.070Euro Basket: Finland vs Serbia
- +$1.3kat 0.082Will Boca Juniors beat Auckland City?
- +$1.1kat 0.210Sparks vs Aces
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 17:01 | New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.48 | $264.00 |
| 08-01 16:59 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays | BUY | 0.4 | $220.00 |
| 07-25 06:56 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.6 | $330.00 |
| 07-23 15:22 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays | BUY | 0.51 | $280.50 |
| 07-20 12:53 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.44 | $242.00 |
| 07-05 06:18 | Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.42 | $22.21 |
| 07-04 18:57 | Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw? | BUY | 0.13 | $13.00 |
| 07-04 18:56 | Will France win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.17 | $17.00 |
| 07-02 07:33 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.26 | $26.00 |
| 06-25 15:11 | Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.48 | $48.00 |
| 06-23 20:22 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals | BUY | 0.3799999993 | $175.00 |
| 06-21 13:47 | Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.11 | $11.00 |
| 06-19 17:39 | Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox | SELL | 0.5266307751 | $302.75 |
| 06-18 15:05 | Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? | BUY | 0.17 | $17.00 |
| 06-18 15:04 | Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.25 | $25.00 |