Thalantyr
0x29673aa650e09fa8aeb920dde3c333b32d4fbd09
- Realised P&L
- $28.0k
- Volume
- $44.51M
- Markets traded
- 119
- Open portfolio
- $6.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded119
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.115 | $2.9k | −$125.00 |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? · No | 0.036 | 0.018 | $1.9k | −$1.8k |
| Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.029 | $1.1k | +$20.00 |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.018 | $414.78 | −$1.2k |
| Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.003 | $76.06 | +$15.21 |
| Will Sung-Jae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.001 | $3.74 | −$18.69 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.144 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
| Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.24 |
| Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$975.00 |
| Boxing: Anthony Joshua vs. Kristian Prenga · Prenga | 0.063 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$53.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.7kat 0.109Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$8.4kat 0.008Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.8kat 0.001Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$5.1kat 0.024Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$4.2kat 0.248Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 22:05 | Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.0k |
| 07-24 12:39 | Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.028 | $1.1k |
| 07-15 21:57 | Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 The Open Championship? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.4k |
| 07-15 21:56 | Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 The Open Championship? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.0k |
| 07-15 18:33 | Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Argentina? | BUY | 0.022 | $1.27 |
| 07-12 15:35 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | SELL | 0.058 | $283.81 |
| 07-10 09:44 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.0762344182 | $1.1k |
| 07-10 09:22 | Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.095 | $1.90 |
| 07-09 23:10 | Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.099 | $198.00 |
| 07-09 23:10 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.084205085 | $1.7k |
| 07-06 02:18 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.076 | $502.79 |
| 07-06 01:59 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.1070007042 | $759.74 |
| 07-06 01:59 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.108 | $109.86 |
| 07-06 01:56 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.1077701985 | $1.4k |
| 07-06 01:55 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.109 | $1.1k |