PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x296782ea6065aff94a3cbe7b9ce7f65d0cf3f4c9

Realised P&L
$-816.84
Volume
$57.5k
Markets traded
84
Open portfolio
$731.46

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded84
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.3000.585$228.74+$111.44
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yes0.3940.335$161.74$28.39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? · No0.8600.960$127.21+$13.25
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · Yes0.4960.225$90.68$109.43
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? · Yes0.1800.220$89.76+$16.32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes0.2950.125$33.12$45.05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes0.1400.001$0.20$56.91

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-16 14:07Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.416$93.60
07-07 17:40Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?SELL0.0951098845$194.01
05-17 20:00Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship?SELL0.082$38.71
05-17 18:53Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?SELL0.125$46.44
05-17 17:18Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?SELL0.68$143.53
05-17 09:52Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship?BUY0.138$65.14
05-17 03:16Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?BUY0.171$63.54
05-17 00:36Sabres vs. CanadiensSELL0.26$41.48
05-16 20:41Will Min Woo Lee win the 2026 PGA Championship?BUY0.0216770645$31.10
05-16 19:37Will Cameron Young win the 2026 PGA Championship?BUY0.0488894082$74.27
05-16 14:50Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?SELL0.47$69.74
05-16 09:42Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship?BUY0.076$75.53
05-16 06:26Sabres vs. CanadiensBUY0.41$65.42
05-15 20:30Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?BUY0.59$87.56
05-15 19:43Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?SELL0.42$54.15