Nikitka
0x29705e5c09678a97e54e03282b8ee5b4bbabe1c9
- Realised P&L
- $-207.6k
- Volume
- $4.58M
- Markets traded
- 284
- Open portfolio
- $20.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded284
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.4kat 0.280Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$6.5kat 0.421Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$6.3kat 0.511US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$6.1kat 0.490Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5
- +$4.2kat 0.490Spread: United States (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 20:55 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina? | SELL | 0.0130023993 | $2.01 |
| 07-19 18:15 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.55 | $3.7k |
| 07-19 15:35 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.0k |
| 07-19 15:34 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.2k |
| 07-19 15:33 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.54 | $2.7k |
| 07-19 15:32 | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3175 | $1.6k |
| 07-19 15:31 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5925 | $5.9k |
| 07-18 21:43 | France vs. England: Team to Win | SELL | 0.08 | $800.00 |
| 07-18 19:45 | Spread: France (-1.5) | BUY | 0.69 | $6.9k |
| 07-18 19:45 | France vs. England: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.69 | $6.9k |
| 07-18 19:38 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.68 | $6.8k |
| 07-15 20:16 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | SELL | 0.652225865 | $3.6k |
| 07-15 17:47 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3625 | $2.0k |
| 07-15 17:44 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.455 | $2.0k |
| 07-14 04:37 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $594.64 |