PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Nikitka

0x29705e5c09678a97e54e03282b8ee5b4bbabe1c9

Realised P&L
$-207.6k
Volume
$4.58M
Markets traded
284
Open portfolio
$20.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded284
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5960.615$9.4k+$284.66
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2960.225$6.6k$2.1k
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.3300.280$2.8k$500.00
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay · Yes0.1670.095$800.11$604.08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1870.115$589.61$368.99
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0490.043$313.77$44.43
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0740.064$129.39$21.97
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2880.000$0.00$11.2k
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 2.5 · Over0.1560.000$0.00$363.35
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$626.41
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.5460.000$0.00$6.4k
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance · Colombia0.6100.000$0.00$2.1k
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$642.02
Will England win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.3650.000$0.00$1.0k
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 · Over0.1220.000$0.00$61.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 20:55Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?SELL0.0130023993$2.01
07-19 18:15Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.55$3.7k
07-19 15:35Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?BUY0.1$1.0k
07-19 15:34Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?BUY0.12$1.2k
07-19 15:33Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.54$2.7k
07-19 15:32Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY0.3175$1.6k
07-19 15:31Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5925$5.9k
07-18 21:43France vs. England: Team to WinSELL0.08$800.00
07-18 19:45Spread: France (-1.5)BUY0.69$6.9k
07-18 19:45France vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.69$6.9k
07-18 19:38France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.68$6.8k
07-15 20:16Will England win on 2026-07-15?SELL0.652225865$3.6k
07-15 17:47Will England win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3625$2.0k
07-15 17:44England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.455$2.0k
07-14 04:37Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?BUY0.24$594.64