PancraceRoyer
0x29d337076f24d135b7b2b08796edfff4e32cb2ed
- Realised P&L
- $86.7k
- Volume
- $1.91M
- Markets traded
- 638
- Open portfolio
- $41.8k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded638
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.3kat 0.490US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$24.1kat 0.582US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$6.7kat 0.726Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$6.2kat 0.863Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
- +$5.5kat 0.844US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 13:46 | Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival | BUY | 0.36 | $216.00 |
| 07-15 12:01 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.3482 | $34.82 |
| 07-14 15:54 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival | BUY | 0.74 | $444.00 |
| 07-14 14:28 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.08 | $16.00 |
| 07-14 14:27 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.89 | $354.22 |
| 07-14 12:46 | Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.66 | $18.48 |
| 07-14 12:37 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5975 | $1.5k |
| 07-14 12:18 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.6975688421 | $662.69 |
| 07-14 12:04 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.6706 | $167.65 |
| 07-12 13:55 | Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.9197857143 | $366.99 |
| 07-12 13:18 | Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.67 | $43.55 |
| 07-12 11:55 | LGD Gaming to win 2-0? | BUY | 0.75 | $35.31 |
| 07-12 10:51 | Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.89 | $105.25 |
| 07-12 10:46 | Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.52 | $52.00 |
| 07-12 10:45 | Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.7800003333 | $234.00 |