0x2aE5cDF2F2d5d2B2a15a1ac0845b36E71492a2A0-1771225293277
0x2ae5cdf2f2d5d2b2a15a1ac0845b36e71492a2a0
- Realised P&L
- $-35.54
- Volume
- $23.1k
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $926.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$143.44at 0.273Will Kristian Gkolomeev win the 50m freestyle at the 2026 Enhanced Games?
- +$96.44at 0.396Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$81.12at 0.607Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
- +$40.37at 0.392Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$35.63at 0.685Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 18:14 | Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? | SELL | 0.817 | $40.85 |
| 07-06 09:17 | FDA approves Retatrutide this year? | SELL | 0.8737250254 | $25.80 |
| 07-06 09:17 | Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? | SELL | 0.6166019757 | $70.53 |
| 07-03 06:43 | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.68 | $54.16 |
| 07-01 15:44 | FDA approves Retatrutide this year? | SELL | 0.85 | $75.31 |
| 06-15 16:23 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.26 | $4.64 |
| 06-15 16:23 | Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.87 | $191.25 |
| 06-07 11:55 | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.66 | $9.90 |
| 06-07 11:46 | Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.013 | $1.30 |
| 06-03 16:57 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.42 | $8.40 |
| 06-03 16:56 | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.69 | $6.90 |
| 05-29 07:57 | FDA approves Retatrutide this year? | BUY | 0.79 | $7.90 |
| 05-25 03:14 | Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Sprint World Record Broken? | SELL | 0.0017551957 | $1.16 |
| 05-25 02:52 | Will Kristian Gkolomeev win the 50m freestyle at the 2026 Enhanced Games? | SELL | 0.57 | $27.70 |
| 05-25 02:51 | Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Sprint World Record Broken? | SELL | 0.0082387855 | $4.68 |