PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x2aE5cDF2F2d5d2B2a15a1ac0845b36E71492a2A0-1771225293277

0x2ae5cdf2f2d5d2b2a15a1ac0845b36e71492a2a0

Realised P&L
$-35.54
Volume
$23.1k
Markets traded
92
Open portfolio
$926.19

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded92
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3750.461$262.49+$48.64
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.4900.675$145.36+$39.80
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? · Yes0.2510.525$144.69+$75.48
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.5570.510$76.50$7.00
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.3830.895$69.14+$39.57
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2190.278$63.82+$13.54
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.3730.425$46.75+$5.75
Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? · Yes0.2070.275$41.25+$10.15
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.7570.770$30.80+$0.50
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4400.445$8.90+$0.10
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? · No0.3000.195$7.80$4.20
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0200.007$7.27$12.31
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5500.595$5.95+$0.45
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.2600.305$5.44+$0.80
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · Yes0.5000.440$4.40$0.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-06 18:14Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?SELL0.817$40.85
07-06 09:17FDA approves Retatrutide this year?SELL0.8737250254$25.80
07-06 09:17Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?SELL0.6166019757$70.53
07-03 06:43Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.68$54.16
07-01 15:44FDA approves Retatrutide this year?SELL0.85$75.31
06-15 16:23Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.26$4.64
06-15 16:23Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.87$191.25
06-07 11:55Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.66$9.90
06-07 11:46Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.013$1.30
06-03 16:57Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.42$8.40
06-03 16:56Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.69$6.90
05-29 07:57FDA approves Retatrutide this year?BUY0.79$7.90
05-25 03:14Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Sprint World Record Broken?SELL0.0017551957$1.16
05-25 02:52Will Kristian Gkolomeev win the 50m freestyle at the 2026 Enhanced Games?SELL0.57$27.70
05-25 02:51Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Sprint World Record Broken?SELL0.0082387855$4.68