borobog
0x2aea66659fdc13509fde33a722733e3e5b8c6ee3
- Realised P&L
- $-213.56
- Volume
- $7.5k
- Markets traded
- 96
- Open portfolio
- $55.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded96
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? · Yes | 0.441 | 0.145 | $55.89 | −$114.10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET · Down | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET · Up | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET · Down | 0.129 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance · Egypt | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? · Yes | 0.555 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.01 |
| Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.533 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET · Down | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.92at 0.260US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$40.85at 0.710Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
- +$34.85at 0.366Will OpenAI GPT score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
- +$30.15at 0.591Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?
- +$30.00at 0.400US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 09:02 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4099999947 | $20.00 |
| 07-15 18:15 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4624999884 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 19:09 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4424999764 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 16:26 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |
| 07-06 17:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BUY | 0.289999964 | $5.00 |
| 07-06 17:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 07-06 17:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4799999808 | $5.00 |
| 06-09 20:01 | Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? | SELL | 0.5360584509 | $48.24 |
| 05-31 20:45 | Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | BUY | 0.2699999963 | $50.00 |
| 05-28 17:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | BUY | 0.4399999648 | $5.00 |
| 05-28 17:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |
| 05-28 17:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | BUY | 0.1399999787 | $5.00 |
| 05-16 23:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4399999648 | $5.00 |
| 05-16 23:21 | Starmer out by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6549999365 | $10.00 |
| 05-16 19:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999834 | $5.00 |