0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876
0x2b670a311561dcaf741d8155451774d3fa7fb814
- Realised P&L
- $24.7k
- Volume
- $2.91M
- Markets traded
- 218
- Open portfolio
- $27.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded218
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.1kat 0.093US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$10.8kat 0.114Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
- +$6.9kat 0.337US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$5.1kat 0.431US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
- +$3.3kat 0.372Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:03 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $122.32 |
| 08-02 22:02 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 08-02 20:09 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $175.15 |
| 08-02 20:08 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.478 | $47.80 |
| 07-29 20:04 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | BUY | 0.2411502772 | $893.00 |
| 07-29 20:04 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.999 | $10.0k |
| 07-29 19:59 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | BUY | 0.219958208 | $79.74 |
| 07-29 18:54 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.88 | $176.00 |
| 07-29 18:52 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.87 | $91.90 |
| 07-29 18:41 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4431994881 | $138.52 |
| 07-29 18:40 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.85 | $113.90 |
| 07-29 18:31 | Will Warsh say "Echo of History" during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.49 | $6.42 |
| 07-29 18:29 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.84 | $84.85 |
| 07-29 18:28 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.84 | $89.28 |
| 07-29 18:28 | Will Warsh’s remarks not air? | BUY | 0.001 | $9.84 |