ichibancho
0x2bfaf4fccc1546667e99ddd0ca6e1af48ac52f31
- Realised P&L
- $-9.4k
- Volume
- $57.4k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $15.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-16.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.305 | $15.8k | −$9.6k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.679US forces enter Iran by December 31?
- +$-500.00at 0.248US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 07:31 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.3193967235 | $500.00 |
| 07-28 23:02 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.3117406801 | $1.0k |
| 07-24 11:45 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $585.00 |
| 07-18 03:02 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.3421947093 | $978.84 |
| 07-14 23:02 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $475.00 |
| 07-14 15:13 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999997 | $500.00 |
| 07-14 00:12 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.3906892501 | $1.0k |
| 07-12 03:55 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $4.30 |
| 07-12 03:53 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.4456448135 | $2.5k |
| 06-08 02:25 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.4804082806 | $347.20 |
| 05-07 12:09 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.6647656353 | $400.00 |
| 05-07 05:12 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.6558191528 | $400.00 |
| 04-24 11:36 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.4822928541 | $250.00 |
| 04-19 09:59 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.5754881719 | $250.00 |
| 04-19 09:58 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.5475545457 | $500.00 |