PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

MaiP120

0x2ce36bb42acf2e728934d3af049176f1ae6f966b

Realised P&L
$-2.9k
Volume
$2.15M
Markets traded
79
Open portfolio
$5.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded79
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration76.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1240.128$4.1k+$100.81
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.1500.135$405.00$44.62
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.0890.075$240.60$46.17
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0150.013$145.09$29.90
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0520.083$123.75+$45.75
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.1750.195$110.77+$10.77
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0610.059$98.22$3.66
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0340.011$36.40$77.19
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0090.006$36.11$13.89
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0220.025$34.64+$4.64
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0360.093$26.43+$16.25
Iran closes its airspace by May 7? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$10.50
Sabres vs. Canadiens · Canadiens0.4300.000$0.00$15.00
Hurricanes vs. Flyers · Flyers0.3700.000$0.00$15.00
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? · Yes0.2630.000$0.00$118.52

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 23:18Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.1099999982$50.00
07-11 23:22Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.08$23.70
07-08 16:34Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.0801084488$23.64
07-08 16:34Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.67$183.26
07-08 16:31Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.16$719.96
07-08 09:50Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.138$75.90
07-08 09:47Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.138$165.60
07-08 09:46Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.08$200.00
07-08 09:45Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1366576016$263.01
07-08 09:44Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.16$719.96
07-07 00:56Will United States win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.1099999815$5.00
07-07 00:19Will United States win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.16$35.00
06-26 02:28Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.126$28.58
06-26 02:25Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1243980546$36.32
06-26 02:24Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1222419788$27.28