mulpodsa85
0x2e31da14fb1ee55a1de99b1caebcbf7ed895d5fd
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $8.80M
- Markets traded
- 1,805
- Open portfolio
- $12.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,805
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.730Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
- +$292.38at 0.170Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$236.77at 0.679Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
- +$236.55at 0.927Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 1?
- +$234.57at 0.810No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:23 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 4? | BUY | 0.971 | $401.02 |
| 08-02 21:21 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 4? | BUY | 0.985 | $197.00 |
| 08-02 20:21 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.967 | $72.52 |
| 08-02 17:06 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.984 | $171.22 |
| 08-02 17:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.993 | $993.00 |
| 08-02 17:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 08-02 17:03 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 4? | BUY | 0.9695698925 | $90.17 |
| 08-02 17:03 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 4? | BUY | 0.969 | $1.6k |
| 08-02 17:03 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on August 4? | BUY | 0.996 | $393.37 |
| 08-01 12:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.989 | $300.16 |
| 08-01 12:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.989 | $147.56 |
| 07-31 22:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.992 | $496.00 |
| 07-31 21:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.993 | $1.0k |
| 07-31 21:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.992 | $61.50 |
| 07-31 21:42 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 1? | BUY | 0.994 | $1.0k |