PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Raccoon12

0x2e99931ef38809335cbbcf5faa1aecb91ac1b482

Realised P&L
$-713.84
Volume
$183.7k
Markets traded
3,380
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,380
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration8.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration88.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.881$881.50+$381.50
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.118$118.50$381.50
Will London have between 40-50mm of precipitation in July? · Yes0.0500.004$0.35$4.68
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0070.003$0.25$0.45
Will London have between 50-60mm of precipitation in July? · Yes0.0110.002$0.20$0.98
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on August 2? · Yes0.0500.001$0.10$10.39
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on August 2? · Yes0.0100.001$0.05$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on August 2? · Yes0.0190.001$0.05$1.97
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 2? · Yes0.0050.001$0.05$0.45
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on August 2? · Yes0.0100.001$0.05$0.95
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on May 22? · Yes0.1520.000$0.00$1.52
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 4? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$5.50
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on April 29? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$5.40
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on April 29? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 24? · Yes0.2350.000$0.00$30.76

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 10:04Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on August 2?BUY0.0065247611$0.08
08-02 10:03Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on August 2?BUY0.05$10.50
08-02 10:00Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on August 2?BUY0.0192374703$2.02
08-02 09:53Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 2?BUY0.27$14.01
07-30 09:42Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? BUY0.002$6.25
07-29 13:47Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 29?BUY0.04$1.26
07-28 10:17Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 28?BUY0.33$5.12
07-27 17:21Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 28?BUY0.07$1.47
07-27 17:20Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 28?BUY0.3051690821$3.16
07-27 17:18Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 28?BUY0.06$1.63
07-27 17:16Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 28?BUY0.38$3.92
07-27 08:10Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 27?BUY0.33$6.83
07-26 16:38Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 26?BUY0.28$2.24
07-26 08:38Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 26?BUY0.18592$5.81
07-26 08:29Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on July 26?BUY0.2384111221$12.00