Raccoon12
0x2e99931ef38809335cbbcf5faa1aecb91ac1b482
- Realised P&L
- $-713.84
- Volume
- $183.7k
- Markets traded
- 3,380
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,380
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$198.13at 0.394Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 13?
- +$162.30at 0.140US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$91.39at 0.085Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
- +$90.91at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on June 13?
- +$88.58at 0.470Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 10:04 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.0065247611 | $0.08 |
| 08-02 10:03 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.05 | $10.50 |
| 08-02 10:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.0192374703 | $2.02 |
| 08-02 09:53 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.27 | $14.01 |
| 07-30 09:42 | Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $6.25 |
| 07-29 13:47 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 29? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.26 |
| 07-28 10:17 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 28? | BUY | 0.33 | $5.12 |
| 07-27 17:21 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 28? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.47 |
| 07-27 17:20 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 28? | BUY | 0.3051690821 | $3.16 |
| 07-27 17:18 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 28? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.63 |
| 07-27 17:16 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 28? | BUY | 0.38 | $3.92 |
| 07-27 08:10 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 27? | BUY | 0.33 | $6.83 |
| 07-26 16:38 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 26? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.24 |
| 07-26 08:38 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 26? | BUY | 0.18592 | $5.81 |
| 07-26 08:29 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on July 26? | BUY | 0.2384111221 | $12.00 |