y-mm
0x2ea3aca6b432f8b42acb7e7e3cfcc2917c006d4e
- Realised P&L
- $9.8k
- Volume
- $15.70M
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.004 | $592.66 | −$62.82 |
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.004 | $426.61 | −$60.94 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.024 | $95.61 | +$42.89 |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.003 | $36.00 | −$21.60 |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.004 | $31.89 | +$4.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.011Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$2.5kat 0.006Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$1.4kat 0.008Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$798.07at 0.008Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$750.98at 0.006Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-18 14:41 | Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.004 | $56.12 |
| 07-18 14:37 | Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.006 | $320.89 |
| 07-18 14:35 | Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.006 | $453.33 |
| 07-18 14:26 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.004 | $69.55 |
| 07-18 14:23 | Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.005 | $29.01 |
| 06-26 10:10 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.016 | $28.93 |
| 06-26 10:08 | Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.007 | $13.93 |
| 05-23 07:12 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.022 | $37.19 |
| 05-01 10:24 | Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0115 | $0.17 |
| 04-08 12:08 | Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $4.34 |
| 03-14 05:42 | Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $21.81 |
| 03-14 05:41 | Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $12.78 |
| 03-14 05:41 | Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $6.09 |
| 03-14 05:40 | Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $2.87 |
| 03-14 05:40 | Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $21.82 |