tro
0x2ef2928fb8ce601d48c2f5f5c27c0ae30c2a503d
- Realised P&L
- $9.35
- Volume
- $26.7k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $9.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.555 | $2.77 | −$1.82 |
| Base FDV above $10B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.265 | $2.65 | −$1.15 |
| Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.405 | $2.02 | −$2.12 |
| Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.315 | $1.57 | −$1.73 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$47.00at 0.060Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
- +$22.31at 0.022Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?
- +$15.75at 0.160Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
- +$10.66at 0.180Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by March 15?
- +$7.28at 0.412Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-28 21:53 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.69 | $35.51 |
| 04-28 21:53 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.4 | $4.00 |
| 04-23 22:19 | Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.40 |
| 04-23 22:18 | Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0445064961 | $4.45 |
| 04-23 15:13 | Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.50 |
| 04-23 15:12 | Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 04-22 02:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 22? | BUY | 0.2449998542 | $0.89 |
| 04-22 02:26 | Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1267005 | $25.34 |
| 04-22 02:21 | Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? | SELL | 0.4071293135 | $65.83 |
| 04-17 05:21 | Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? | BUY | 0.4555755516 | $60.00 |
| 02-22 15:03 | Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? | BUY | 0.2394653333 | $7.18 |
| 02-22 15:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | SELL | 0.5 | $5.35 |
| 02-22 15:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | BUY | 0.4599999595 | $4.85 |
| 02-22 14:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | SELL | 0.01 | $0.33 |
| 02-22 14:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.149999976 | $4.96 |