PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

alphaalii

0x2f28c1d2d8c0aee287e9c05a0603274ff533ba03

Realised P&L
$14.5k
Volume
$526.8k
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$60.7k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.7230.595$17.7k$3.8k
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? · Yes0.7410.805$12.5k+$989.90
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.5570.505$11.8k$1.2k
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.3850.370$7.1k$293.04
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.2960.336$3.0k+$357.13
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.0970.122$2.7k+$558.10
Squid FDV above $75M one day after launch · Yes0.6800.665$2.5k$56.81
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? · Yes0.2170.216$1.5k$5.15
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · Yes0.4440.420$1.5k$84.11
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.1240.144$343.61+$49.12
Squid FDV above $50M one day after launch · Yes0.8500.855$85.50+$0.50
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027? · No0.1230.151$71.51+$13.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 15:26Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?BUY0.191$9.06
08-02 15:26Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.38$49.40
08-02 15:26Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.37$22.20
08-02 15:26Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.36$12.94
08-02 09:45Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?BUY0.4399049068$462.60
08-02 05:09Squid FDV above $75M one day after launchBUY0.7442087542$53.05
08-02 05:08Squid FDV above $75M one day after launchBUY0.7491152399$386.26
08-02 05:08Squid FDV above $75M one day after launchBUY0.7288004694$273.29
08-02 05:08Squid FDV above $75M one day after launchBUY0.71$21.37
08-02 03:42Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.3070541971$324.97
08-02 02:02Squid FDV above $75M one day after launchBUY0.7$210.00
08-02 02:01Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.297$460.35
08-02 02:01Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?BUY0.42$12.60
08-02 02:00Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?BUY0.41$20.57
08-01 15:23Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?SELL0.77$240.67